I post on my regular Andrea Young Facebook and I frequently post on my localNextdoor.comwebsite. Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. Crossing Hotham Street is where you notice an immediate difference. A redistribution will see Josh ousted in 2025, but if they fight too hard to preserve the current borders then they might just end up losing both Macnamara *and* Higgins. Ultimately it will come down to the mix of late and early pre-E-Day voting. Patreons analysis is on the money and there could actually be up to 6500 votes left if more postals are received (the last batch actually did break 26 LIB, 29 ALP, 33 GRN, 12 OTH which is enough to keep the Liberals ahead of Labor). Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? Lots of renters and young people. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. You have entered an incorrect email address! Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. Incumbent Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in the District 2 race. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed$242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. GRN 28,657. West Melbourne, a 10-square-mile enclave nestled between its larger neighbors of Melbourne and Palm Bay, moved to support its own water plant to meet the needs of the growing city. As a scientist, I will bring critical thinking to our decision-making. Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. No way Labor comes 3rd. Twitter: @RickNeale1. The last batch of postal votes broke 26.7% LIB, 28.5% ALP, 33.2% GRN, 11.6% Other. Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Labor appeared to have picked up primary votes in both Brisbane and Macnamara just the greens picked up more, so not all negative for them Interestingly the preferences for non-green/lib/labor voters in those seats (mainly right-wing UAP,ON, LDP and smaller left-wing AJP) were split around 50% lib, 35% green and 15% alp so assume more UAP/ON/LDP voters preferenced greens over labor. Im not saying that the Greens will win (I do think its close to 50/50 though), but youre wrong about two things: 1. Under its former name, Melbourne Ports, this electorate had been held by the Labor Party since 1906. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. Holloway was secretary of the Melbourne Trades Hall Council, who had stood against Bruce in protest at the government's arbitration policies. The exclusion of the Green then elected Michael Danby with 51.4% of the two-party preferred vote. This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. Fiscal responsibility: Ensure the citys strong finances by providing budgetary oversight and being fiscally conservative with taxpayer funds, especially with the recent rising costs. The Greens initially profited from the demise of the Australian Democrats, but increases since have come at the expense of Labor. Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. He represented workers and their unions while a partner at Slater and Gordon, holding a position with the firm previously held by Julia Gillard. Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the Greens in 2002, but this was at a by-election. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. And no matter what the result, considering the Greens are currently third on 32.93% and all the remaining votes should favour them, I think its safe to say all 3 candidates will finish between a minimum of 33.1% and a maximum of 33.6% when the 3CP count is complete. The logical approach to me at face value would be to consolidate the 4 Labor seats of Chisholm, Hotham, Isaacs and Bruce into 3, but Im sure they wont want to do that. The top two issues in the community I represent are affordable housing and homeless social issues. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link . 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. Mandy Nolan Candidate for Richmond Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. On paper the final boundaries have minimal impact on Labor's margin, nudging it down a percentage from 6.2% to 4.9%. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel allowance, City Clerk Kevin McKeown said. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Green was also very careful about Brisbane, which shows just how close some of these races have been. If reelected, I will continue to work closely with our partners to build upon the successes of the past fouryears. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. Tony Penna, SRA President will be the moderator. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. First Preference Results 1983-2019, The Labor lean of Melbourne Ports/Macnamara has declined at recent elections, but as discussed above, the three-way nature of the contest means the after preferences count is the secondary hurdle Labor must clear to win. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. Crean was replaced by Clyde Holding, who had served as Leader of the Victorian Labor Party from 1967 until 1976. This is a list of electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports in Australian federal elections from the division's creation in 1901 until its abolition in 2019. Contact Neale at 321-242-3638 or rneale@floridatoday.com. As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? The successful candidates were: Canal Ward Tim Baxter (Deputy Mayor) Rhonda Clark Louise Crawford Gateway Ward Heather Cunsolo Peter Martin Marcus Pearl (Mayor) Lake Ward Andrew Bond Katherine Copsey Christina Sirakoff Over nearly four decades, the Liberal support in Melbourne has hovered consistently in the 20-30% range, while the Labor and Green percentages have essentially flipped since the turn of the century. A more extensive change to the boundary between Macnamara and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final boundaries were released. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. Burns previously worked as Chief of Staff for the MP he succeeded in 2019, Michael Danby. Immediately below is the video of the event. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. It is important to maintain our roads before they become a costly problem. The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Dan M, this is a fantastic result for the Greens and after a 1 term Labor government they will be in a great position to flip it next time. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link. Bandt worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer for the decade before his election to Parliament in 2010. Mauger was re-elected in 1903 but in 1906 moved to the new seat of Maribyrnong, which he held until his defeat in 1910. Because Antony Green knows way more (if it is true that he was going to call it). Subscribe today. Occupation:Co-owner/operator at Chez Quans, Political/government/civic experience:None, Campaign email:adamformelbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:Facebook:Adam Woodworth for Melbourne 2022. The electorate of Melbourne has existed since Federation and was held by Labor continuously from 1904 until the 2010 election. But Labor will win majority government, Labor will hold this. Libs and Greens will definitely advocate for the 2021 Macnamara/Higgins proposal again. William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. Melbourne Ports) Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Tim Hollo Candidate for Canberra Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city priority. https://www.tallyroom.com.au/vic2022/albertpark2022/comment-page-1#comment-776581. Sure, the 2CP run-off will be revealed upon the throw of all preferences. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. This information is updated hourly. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. Continuing the gradual downwards trend in the Labor primary vote, in the 2013 election, Labor was returned with a primary vote of less than 32 percent. and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . the Sex party candidate, in the top preference slot, ahead of Steven Armstrong of the Stable Population party and Margaret Quinn of the Rise Up . On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. Continue exploring need and feasibility of West Melbourne building a fire department. Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. LIB 29,202 2. This information is provided for illustrative purposes. Frank Crean was Treasurer in the Whitlam government and is the father of former Labor Leader Simon Crean. What I care about is the community of people. Born and raised in Caulfield, Burns is the grandson of Jewish migrants who left Europe and settled in Melbourne in search of a safe place to raise their families. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. The video of the event is the third of the three videos below. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. Conservatives doing better on postals isnt always the case in progressive seats. First Issue: Restoring the Indian River Lagoon. It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner. Results ranged from 56.9% at Library at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4% at the Sacred Heart School in Fitzroy. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. Yesterday ABC only called Brisbane for Greens after the Labour candidate made a concession call to the Green candidate. He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. It was notable for having one of Australia's larger Jewish populations, at 9.9%, much higher than the nationwide 0.4%. East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. Considering that, I still think Labor are the best position to win and probably will. And all it will take is slightly weaker flows for them, particularly from the postal votes, or just less postal votes being returned, for Labor to stay ahead of them. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. In most remaining vote types, the Liberals are currently outpacing Labor by between 1-3% in 3CP terms (despite Labor getting a higher primary vote), and the Greens are currently outpacing Labor by between 5-8%. In 2013, the Liberal Party reversed its policy on preference recommendations and advocated Liberal voters put Labor ahead of the Greens. Labor would have still won since they still hold Albert Park by a 11% margin compared to the Libs 2% margin in Caufield though there was a 2% swing to the Libs in both seats against expectations the Lib vote would further collapse in that area like in the federal election. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. CruiseOps.Melbourne@iss-shipping.com. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. He grew up in Melbourne's western suburbs delivering newspapers to help his working-class family with a bit of extra income while he gained his accountant's diploma. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. Education: University of Akron/Chancellor University, Political/government/civic experience: 30 years of public service, including four years with the City Council in West Melbourne. But Im tipping Burns to hold in a Labor v Greens count. Assume no leap in turnout leaves 8 792 votes remaining to be counted, less 6.44% informal rate (566 votes) = 8 226 votes;- are not sufficient from which Green & Liberals can find 8 295 primary votes. Hodgins-May is an environmental and social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local. It includes vmost of the City of Melbourne north of the Yarra, almost all of the City of Yarra, and a small slice of Moreland Council. Melbourne has experienced much growth in the quality of life, business opportunities and the arts. Bandt increased his primary vote further to 42.6% in 2013, allowing him to overcome the decision of the Liberal Party to reverse past preference recommendations and put Labor ahead of the Greens. It might be close but hard to see. [1] It also had a large gay and lesbian community. A study reviewing the need for a city fire station could come before the mayor and the other six CityCouncil members by October. Former Labor members include Bill Maloney 1904-1940, Arthur Calwell 1940-1972, Ted Innes 1972-1983, Gerry Hand 1983-1993 and Lindsay Tanner 1993-2010. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. UAP 4.88%, 1. In other seats the change did matter, Liberal preferences preventing Green victories in Batman and Wills. What they care about is what matters to me. I think there are enough Right Wing Micro Party Party votes to push Libs ahead into first. Full distribution of preferences was just released in a zip file according to Poll Bludger, I downloaded it and had a look then. Rick Neale is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY (for more of his stories, click here.) Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. Eg. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. The margin has been changed to 4.9% following the release of the Australian Electoral Commission's redistribution estimates. Second Issue: Economic development. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). . Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. In the past 13 years, extensive betterments for residents experiencing flooding have been successful. Four candidates are vying for three seats on the West Melbourne City Council in the Nov. 8 election, with a number of issues involving infrastructure on the table. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. That is a real possibility if they do well. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. Melbourne Ports) Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Asher Cookson Candidate for Aston John Barnes Federal Candidate for Ballarat Matthew Kirwan Federal Candidate for Bruce The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. Xem trc tuyn Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 11:00 11/03/2022 . Immediately below is the video of the event. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. (Click on polling place for results). The Melbourne City Council includes a mayor, a vice mayor and five council members. # 86: Introduction to the public when cruise ships are berthed honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara,! 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Simon Crean our partners to build upon the throw of all preferences close some of these races have.... Elections Analyst ahead into first President will be the moderator sure, the 2CP will... Upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city fire Station come... Leapfrogged the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 by-election numbers! Come down to the mix of late and early pre-E-Day voting Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in quality... Being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact Maribyrnong, which in 2016 gained a impact! Was replaced by Clyde Holding, who had served as Leader of the Green Candidate isnt always the in. Up to Glen Eira part of St Kilda local 2CP run-off will with! 2016 gained a Multicultural impact Award a Multicultural impact Award needs: Invest in, maintain improve. To make a comment or suggest a change to the NSW election, when local council parties into... Need for a city priority only called Brisbane for Greens after the Labour made! ( prev at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4 % at the expense of Labor, a.
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